Will Iran and Oman announce a deal banning military ships from transiting the Strait of Hormuz?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 3, 2026, at least two independent authoritative news outlets report that Iran and Oman have publicly announced and published the text or a joint statement of a bilateral agreement whose operative language explicitly prohibits transit of military (non‑commercial/naval warship) vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. Preferred evidence includes official statements or a published agreement text from Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Oman’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Mere threats, proposals, unilateral Iranian declarations without a joint Omani announcement, or statements saying they are "considering" an agreement resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 15 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

15

Credits staked

352

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 27, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 4, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 15 predictions and 352 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Iran and Oman announce a deal banning military ships from transiting the Strait of Hormuz?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Iran and Oman announce a deal banning military ships from transiting the Strait of Hormuz?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.