Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

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68%
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YES if, no later than August 31, 2026, the City of Reno or Washoe County emergency management issues an official statement, or two or more independent local or national news outlets (for example the Reno Gazette‑Journal, the Associated Press, or Reuters) report, that all evacuation orders issued for any areas described as 'Hawk Fire' have been lifted so that no evacuation order remains in effect for any Hawk Fire zone. Otherwise NO. If any Hawk Fire evacuation order remains in effect, or if orders are converted to evacuation warnings or voluntary evacuations without being fully lifted, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a few days left and no word yet from the city or reliable news sources, I doubt all evacuation orders will be lifted in time. Count on it remaining NO.

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