🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30
Will North Korea publicly accept South Korea's proposal for military talks to calm rising border tensions?
15%
-1% last 24h
491 bets · 15.8K credits5
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PoliticsOpened Aug 26 · Results Sep 8
Will Norway publicly say Russia or pro‑Russian hackers were behind the cyberattack on its public digital services?
52%
Stable · last 24h
📊 396 bettors💎 9.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 8🤖 Context
The rule required that, by September 7, 2026, the Norwegian government publicly attribute the cyberattack on its public digital services to the Russian state or to identified pro‑Russian hacker groups. Multiple independent news outlets reported that no such official attribution had been made for the August 2026 DDoS attack. BleepingComputer, SecurityAffairs and Heise said authorities were still investigating, and NRK noted a Telegram claim by a group called "Server Killers" while reporting that Kripos and PST did not confirm any perpetrators. Because no government statement attributing the attack to Russia or to identified pro‑Russian groups was issued by September 7, 2026, the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No52%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence explicitly report that Norwegian authorities had not made an official attribution of the Aug 2026 DDoS attack to the Russian state or to pro‑Russian hacker groups. BleepingComputer, SecurityAffairs and Heise each state there was no official attribution and that Digdir/authorities were investigating; NRK reports a Telegram claim by a group called “Server Killers” but also records that Kripos/PST would not comment and that authorities did not confirm perpetrators. None of the provided sources show a Norwegian government statement publicly attributing the attack to the Russian state or to identified pro‑Russian hacker groups by the deadline. On that basis the correct settlement is NO.
Source: bleepingcomputer.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 52%
- Predictions made
- 396
- Credits staked
- 9,848
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 26, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 8, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- bleepingcomputer.com, securityaffairs.com, heise.de
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 💀
Whoever reads this is gay.
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given the tight deadline and Norway's careful stance on accusations, I doubt they'll publicly attribute the cyberattack to Russia or pro-Russian hackers by September 7. Too much uncertainty remains.
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