Will Invest 99E or the storm that forms from it make landfall on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California peninsula?

37%
-19% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Sep 25YES if the National Hurricane Center issues an advisory or public statement designating Invest 99E as a tropical cyclone (tropical depression or stronger) no later than 15:59 on September 25, 2026. Otherwise NO. Contemporaneous reporting from major news organizations that clearly cites the official designation is also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 79 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a few days left until the advisory deadline, conditions look favorable for Invest 99E to strengthen. I expect the NHC will likely issue a designation before September 25.

37%
-19% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

33%
-1% last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h
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