🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
993 bets · 34.7K credits13
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PoliticsOpened Oct 14 · Results Oct 21
Will Halk TV staff be allowed back into their Istanbul building and resume live broadcasts from those studios?
12%
Stable · last 24h
📊 143 bettors💎 5.5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 21🤖 Context
YES if two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that Halk TV staff were physically allowed to re-enter the Istanbul building named in the BBC article and that live broadcasts resumed from those Istanbul studios no later than October 20, 2026, otherwise NO. • Two or more independent authoritative news outlets must report both the physical re-entry of staff and the resumption of live broadcasts from those Istanbul studios. • Remote or pre-recorded programming or broadcasts from a different location do not count. If broadcasts resume only under the newly-appointed manager while the channel's original staff remain barred, that is NO. • Source: independent news outlets (for example BBC News).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No12%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The original staff of Halk TV was prevented from accessing its headquarters in Istanbul following a police raid and the appointment of a trustee on October 14, 2026, suspending independent live broadcasts. No physical reinstatement of the original staff or resumption of broadcasts occurred before the deadline of October 20, 2026.
Source: cpj.orgKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 12%
- Predictions made
- 143
- Credits staked
- 5,483
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Oct 14, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 20, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 21, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- cpj.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
- 👽
The political context in Turkey!!
- 🪙
I don't think so. Also, journalists take risks.
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the tight timeline and need for independent verification, it’s unlikely we’ll see the staff back in the building by the deadline. Expecting two credible sources to confirm this seems optimistic.
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