Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

79%
+42% last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 1YES if a peer‑reviewed research paper or official report using results from the integrated Lucy quantum processor connected to the Joliot‑Curie supercomputer is published by December 31, 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tsm-electronique.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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79%
+42% last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h

22%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h
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