PoliticsOpened Sep 26 · Results Sep 27

Will France hold its senatorial elections on September 27?

94%

Stable · last 24h

📊 148 bettors💎 6.6K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 27

🤖 Context

The market required that voting by the grands électeurs for the 2026 senatorial renewal take place nationwide on 27 September 2026 and that official results for the seats scheduled that day be published on or immediately after 27 September 2026. The Sénat’s election pages and other independent outlets show the electoral colleges were convened and voted on Sunday 27 September 2026 across the departments concerned, and major national and local media published results and live tallies on that day or immediately after. Because voting occurred nationwide on 27 September 2026 and results were published on or immediately after that date, the market resolves yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

94%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Multiple independent sources show that the electoral colleges (grands électeurs) were convened and voted on Sunday 27 September 2026 and that results were published on that day or immediately after. The Sénat site and election pages confirm the colleges were convoked for 27/09/2026 across the series-2 departments called to vote; major outlets published live results/interactive maps on 27/09/2026 (Public Sénat, Franceinfo, Le Monde) and local outlets (e.g. PeyiGuyane) reported specific seat results the same day. These independent, same-day reports corroborate that voting took place on 2026-09-27 and that results were published on or immediately after that date.

Source: publicsenat.fr