Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

61%
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30%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Awaiting resultYES if Netflix publishes official global Top 3 most-watched films data for the title “Fjord” within 30 days after its release, and “Fjord” is ranked within that Top 3. NO otherwise (including if it appears but ranks 4th or lower, or if Netflix does not publish rankings).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against latimes.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 62 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI don't really believe it
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61%
+8% last 24h

89%
Stable · last 24h

25%
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37%
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66%
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67%
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