Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

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YES if Kalshi finalizes market KXALBUMEQUIV-DON26SEP03-110K as YES. Kalshi will finalize YES only if Luminate reports that Don't Look Down had strictly more than 110,000 Album Equivalent Units in the U.S. tracking week Aug 28–Sep 03, 2026, using the figure Luminate reports as of 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, September 6, 2026. If Luminate reports 110,000 or fewer, Kalshi will finalize NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRod Wave's recent streams suggest he could surpass 110,000 units. With plenty of buzz and a solid fanbase, I'd lean towards YES on this one.

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