Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

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YES if Kalshi finalizes its corresponding market with an official YES. Kalshi will finalize YES only if Netflix's Top 10 US Shows chart published on September 8, 2026 for the week ending September 7, 2026 lists 'Death of a Pastor's Wife' at position #1, and ties for #1 count. If the show is not at #1 (including #2 or lower), Kalshi will finalize NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only about a week left, it's tough to see 'Death of a Pastor's Wife' claiming the top spot on Netflix. Other contenders are likely to push it down.

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