Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

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YES if Kalshi finalizes ticker KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26SEP07-15 as YES. Kalshi will mark YES only if the show ranked #1 on Netflix’s weekly Global "Shows | English" Top 10 chart published on September 8, 2026 is reported with 15,000,000 or more Views. A tie for #1 counts as YES if any entry in the #1 slot has at least 15,000,000 Views. Otherwise the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 63 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the strong viewership patterns Netflix shows typically attract, hitting 15 million views seems very likely. I’d say the #1 show will surpass that mark.

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