Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

🤖 Context

YES if Polymarket's Post Counter for the mirrored event records fewer than 40 total main-feed posts, 'quote posts', or reposts by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X between September 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, inclusive. Replies do not count. Deleted posts count only if they were available long enough to be captured by the tracker (about 5 minutes).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 42 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

52%

Predictions made

42

Credits staked

909

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 52% and NO 48%, based on 42 predictions and 909 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.