🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?
91%
Stable · last 24h
604 bets · 21.5K credits7
Details →
ScienceOpened Oct 6 · Results Oct 8
Will Falcon 9 booster B1103 land on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You' after the SDA T1TL-A launch?
32%
-10% last 24h
📊 369 bettors💎 16.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 8🤖 Context
YES if booster B1103 touched down on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You' following the Falcon 9 lift-off associated with the SDA T1TL-A launch attempt that began at 12:54 a.m. PDT on October 8, 2026, otherwise NO. • A reported landing on a different site, a reported loss, or no authoritative identification of B1103 on that droneship resolves NO. • Source: SpaceX, the U.S. Space Force Western Range, or other authoritative reporting that explicitly identifies booster B1103 (for example Spaceflight Now).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No32%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The cover page of Spaceflight Now, dated October 8, confirms that the attempt on October 5 was aborted and that the launch was subsequently delayed beyond October 8. It also indicates LZ-4 as the planned site for B1103.
Source: spaceflightnow.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 32%
- Predictions made
- 369
- Credits staked
- 16,666
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 6, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 8, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 8, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- spaceflightnow.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the tight timeline and SpaceX's history, I'm betting YES. B1103 is likely to land on the designated droneship unless something goes wrong at launch.
Related predictions
See all →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 12
Will Nolo be a hurricane?
50%
+1% last 24h
469 bets · 11.9K credits1
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
Will SpaceX launch Starlink 15‑25 (27 V2 Mini satellites) from Vandenberg on October 10?
63%
-14% last 24h
376 bets · 16.5K credits5
Details →🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 9 · Results Oct 12
Will Chile have at least one earthquake of magnitude 4.9 or greater?
25%
Stable · last 24h
225 bets · 8.5K credits4
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
Will the Falcon 9 with booster B1082 launch from Vandenberg on Oct 10?
44%
Stable · last 24h
216 bets · 9.2K credits3
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 15 · Results Oct 16
Will a tropical cyclone named Simon make landfall in Mexican territory, including the Baja California peninsula or the mainland west coast?
60%
+1% last 24h
208 bets · 7.2K credits4
Details →