Will a tropical cyclone named Simon make landfall in Mexican territory, including the Baja California peninsula or the mainland west coast?

🤖 Context

YES if, between October 2, 2026 and no later than October 15, 2026, a tropical cyclone named "Simon" makes landfall on Mexican territory (the cyclone center crosses the coast). Otherwise NO. • Reports by NOAA or by at least two major news organisations that explicitly cite NHC/CPHC or Mexico's SMN/CONAGUA as saying Simon made landfall also count. • Source: National Hurricane Center (NHC), Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), or Mexico's SMN/CONAGUA.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 215 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

215

Credits staked

7,448

Comments

4

Opened

Oct 2, 2026

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 16, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 215 predictions and 7.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a tropical cyclone named Simon make landfall in Mexican territory, including the Baja California peninsula or the mainland west coast?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a tropical cyclone named Simon make landfall in Mexican territory, including the Baja California peninsula or the mainland west coast?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.