Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

39%
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19%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Christophe Barthès no longer holds the office of mayor of Carcassonne no later than September 24, 2026 because he has formally resigned or has been removed and that vacancy is recorded in an official source. Acceptable evidence includes an official resignation or its acceptance published by the Mairie de Carcassonne or a Prefecture press release, a municipal council record showing the office vacated, or reporting by major national news agencies (AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde) that cites those official documents. A mere announcement of intent to resign, a temporary administrative leave, or a suspension that leaves him legally holding office does not satisfy this market.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 19%, based on 37 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeline, Barthès would need to act quickly to resign or be removed. Current indications suggest he may stay put, so I'm leaning towards NO here.

39%
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72%
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45%
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78%
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22%
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73%
+27% last 24h
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