Will at least one candidate affiliated with Les Écologistes (EELV) be elected to the French Senate?

🤖 Context

The market required that the initial official results of the 27 September 2026 senatorial elections show at least one elected senator whose party affiliation or parliamentary group is recorded as "Les Écologistes" or an equivalent ecologist group name, and only the initial results published on that date by the Sénat or the Ministère de l'Intérieur count. On 27 September 2026 several initial result reports named elected senators with that label; for example one outlet listed Mélanie Vogel as "Les Écologistes" among the six senators elected for French citizens abroad, Made in Marseille reported Guy Benarroche re-elected in Bouches-du-Rhône as "Les Écologistes", and Franceinfo published results that include a "Les Ecologistes" category and ecologist winners. Because those initial published results from 27 September 2026 recorded at least one elected senator as "Les Écologistes", the market resolves yes.

Key facts

Crowd probability

94%

Predictions made

193

Credits staked

8,600

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 27, 2026

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Resolved

Sep 27, 2026

Outcome

Yes

Resolution source

lesfrancais.press, madeinmarseille.net, franceinfo.fr