🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 28
Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater?
34%
Stable · last 24h
287 bets · 11.9K credits6
Details →
ScienceOpened Jun 23 · Results Jul 31
Will Astrobotic's Griffin-1 lunar lander launch in July 2026?
57%
Stable · last 24h
📊 97 bettors💎 3.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 31🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if Astrobotic's Griffin-1 lunar lander launches in July 2026, as part of NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program. The exact launch date in July 2026 has not been publicly announced yet, making the precise timing of the mission uncertain.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No57%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 57%
- Predictions made
- 97
- Credits staked
- 3,836
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 23, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
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