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207 bets · 9K credits5
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ScienceOpened Oct 3 · Results Oct 5
Will any location in Pyrénées-Orientales record at least 50.0 mm of rain in any consecutive 3-hour period on October 4?
78%
Stable · last 24h
📊 80 bettors💎 3.3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 5🤖 Context
YES if at any meteorological observation site or rain gauge located inside the administrative boundaries of the Pyrénées-Orientales department the cumulative precipitation over any consecutive three-hour interval that falls entirely between 06:00 and 23:59:59 (local time, UTC+2) on October 4, 2026 is at least 50.0 millimetres. Otherwise NO. • Sums must be over consecutive three-hour intervals as reported by the source. • Only measurements from sites within the administrative boundaries of Pyrénées-Orientales count. • Source: Météo‑France (hourly station observations).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes78%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: YES. Météo-France reported that the October 4 episode was producing significant rainfall over the Pyrénées-Orientales, with expected intensities of 50–80 mm in a few hours and locally much higher totals. The event occurred during the market’s qualifying period beginning at 06:00 local time. Météo-France hourly observations for Perpignan also recorded 55.0 mm of rain by 17:00 on October 4.
Source: lasemainedespyrenees.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 78%
- Predictions made
- 80
- Credits staked
- 3,307
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 3, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 5, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- lasemainedespyrenees.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
It's likely to rain heavily in the Pyrénées-Orientales tomorrow; the conditions are right for at least one site to record over 50 mm in a 3-hour stretch.
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