Will any location in one of these 12 French departments record a wind gust of 100 km/h or more on August 26?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one instrumented observation (anemometer) or an official statement records an instantaneous wind gust of at least 100 km/h at any location within any of the listed departments between 18:00 and 23:59:59 on 26 August 2026, inclusive. Preferred evidence is Météo‑France station observation logs or synoptic/observation bulletins, or a departmental prefecture press statement, and if those are not available corroboration by at least one major national news agency (for example AFP) or TF1/Franceinfo that explicitly cites an official measured gust in the stated window is acceptable. Forecasts, model outputs, and uncorroborated social media posts do not count, and reported values in other units must convert to at least 100 km/h to qualify.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 232 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

232

Credits staked

7,695

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 73% and NO 27%, based on 232 predictions and 7.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any location in one of these 12 French departments record a wind gust of 100 km/h or more on August 26?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any location in one of these 12 French departments record a wind gust of 100 km/h or more on August 26?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.