Will any location in one of these 12 French departments record a wind gust of 100 km/h or more on August 26?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one instrumented observation (anemometer) or an official statement records an instantaneous wind gust of at least 100 km/h at any location within any of the listed departments between 18:00 and 23:59:59 on 26 August 2026, inclusive. Preferred evidence is Météo‑France station observation logs or synoptic/observation bulletins, or a departmental prefecture press statement, and if those are not available corroboration by at least one major national news agency (for example AFP) or TF1/Franceinfo that explicitly cites an official measured gust in the stated window is acceptable. Forecasts, model outputs, and uncorroborated social media posts do not count, and reported values in other units must convert to at least 100 km/h to qualify.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

231

Credits staked

7,670

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Resolved

Aug 31, 2026

Outcome

Yes