Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

92%
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25%
Stable · last 24h
YES if at any time between 00:00 UTC on August 7, 2026 and no later than 19:59 on August 20, 2026 a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific is reported in operational advisories or official best-track data to have reached Saffir–Simpson Category 3 intensity (major hurricane). Count reports from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) Eastern Pacific or an equivalent official tropical cyclone warning center, and retroactive official best-track reanalyses that show a storm reached Category 3 within the window also count. Informal model output, 'invest' tags, or unverified social-media claims without an official advisory do not count. Otherwise NO.
Sources used to create this market
Given the timeline and recent storm activity, I'm leaning towards NO. We're close to the resolution, and the current conditions don't suggest a major hurricane development is likely.

92%
+1% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h

53%
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47%
-2% last 24h
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