Will any Eastern North Pacific cyclone reach Category 3 (major hurricane)?

🤖 Context

YES if at any time between 00:00 UTC on August 7, 2026 and no later than 19:59 on August 20, 2026 a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific is reported in operational advisories or official best-track data to have reached Saffir–Simpson Category 3 intensity (major hurricane). Count reports from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) Eastern Pacific or an equivalent official tropical cyclone warning center, and retroactive official best-track reanalyses that show a storm reached Category 3 within the window also count. Informal model output, 'invest' tags, or unverified social-media claims without an official advisory do not count. Otherwise NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

24%

Predictions made

253

Credits staked

5,577

Comments

4

Opened

Aug 6, 2026

Closes

Aug 6, 2026

Resolved

Aug 25, 2026

Outcome

No