Will Anthropic's market share be above 5.8%?

30%
-6% last 24h

32%
-6% last 24h
YES if Apple files a formal administrative appeal or request for reconsideration of the KMCC's October 28, 2026 enforcement decision and the KMCC records or publicly acknowledges that filing no later than November 27, 2026, otherwise NO. • A KMCC press release, a KMCC public docket entry, or an on‑the‑record Apple statement confirming the filing counts. • A mere Apple statement that it is "evaluating options" without a formal filing recorded by the KMCC during the window does NOT count. • Source: Korea Media and Communications Commission (KMCC).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 347 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo, they did not respect the rules.
Apple's unlikely to file a formal appeal within this timeframe. They've missed the mark on meeting the KMCC's requirements, so I'm betting on NO here.

30%
-6% last 24h

12%
-12% last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h
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