Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 15The market resolves to yes if, on 15 September 2026, the Spanish Senate plenary included any motion tabled by the People's Party that the PP described as a 'plan de actuación para Ceuta' and the plenary put that motion to a vote. On 15 September 2026 the Senate plenary voted on a PP motion the party called its 'plan de actuación para Ceuta', and it was approved by 147 votes to 104 with no abstentions, as reported by El Imparcial, El Constitucional and Ceuta Ahora. Because the motion was on the plenary and was put to a vote and approved that day, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the evidence report that on 2026-09-15 the Senate plenary voted on and approved a PP motion that the party described as its 'plan de actuación para Ceuta'. El Imparcial (15/09/2026) states: “El Senado ha aprobado … con 147 votos a favor, 104 en contra y ninguna abstención.” El Constitucional (15/09/2026) reports the PP used its majority to aprobar (approve) its plan in the Senate. Ceuta Ahora (15/09/2026) likewise reports the initiative “salió adelante” in the plenary despite PSOE opposition. These corroborating, dated reports establish that the motion was put to a vote and approved on 2026-09-15.
Source: elimparcial.esSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a day left, the motion from the PP is likely to be debated and voted on. The agenda will likely reflect this, given the political climate in Ceuta.

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