Will a government bill based on Stefanie Hubig's draft be approved and sent to the Bundestag for a first reading?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or after October 25, 2026 at 20:02 UTC and no later than March 31, 2027, the federal cabinet formally approves a government bill derived from or explicitly based on Stefanie Hubig's referentenentwurf and the government transmits that bill to the Deutscher Bundestag for first reading. Otherwise NO. • The bill must be derived from or explicitly based on Stefanie Hubig's referentenentwurf. • Acceptable evidence is one of the following. At least two independent major German news outlets reporting the cabinet approved and transmitted the bill. Or an official cabinet or Federal Ministry of Justice press release describing the approved bill plus reporting from at least one independent major German news outlet. Or the bill appearing on the Bundestag Drucksachen tracker accompanied by independent reporting. • Source: Major German news outlets, Federal Ministry of Justice (Bundesministerium der Justiz), Deutscher Bundestag (Drucksachen).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Mar 31, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Apr 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 25, 2026

Closes

Mar 31, 2027

Expected resolution

Apr 1, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Mar 31, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Apr 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a government bill based on Stefanie Hubig's draft be approved and sent to the Bundestag for a first reading?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a government bill based on Stefanie Hubig's draft be approved and sent to the Bundestag for a first reading?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.