🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
Stable · last 24h
962 bets · 33.7K credits12
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 20 · Results Oct 1
Will a bill that imposes a 100% tariff on imports from India, matching the Senate's measure, pass the U.S. House?
47%
Stable · last 24h
📊 163 bettors💎 5.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 1🤖 Context
RESOLVES YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill whose text would impose a 100% tariff on imports from India matching the measure the U.S. Senate approved on August 7, 2026. Preferred evidence is the official House roll-call (Clerk of the House) and/or credible reporting by two or more independent news organisations. Passage of a bill with a different tariff rate, only committee consideration, procedural action, or referral without House passage counts as NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes47%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Gemini Live could allow users to request a Deep Research report by voice, and then discuss it directly with Gemini once the research is completed. Google has already implemented the various necessary functions: Deep Research can generate a detailed report and even an audio summary, while Gemini Live allows for real-time voice conversation. However, Google has not yet officially confirmed that these functions will be combined in exactly this way in one platform.
Source: gemini.googleKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 47%
- Predictions made
- 163
- Credits staked
- 5,794
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 20, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 29, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- gemini.google
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🏆
Not enough support from Trump
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the current political climate, a 100% tariff bill seems unlikely to pass through the House. There's not enough bipartisan support to make this happen within the timeframe.
Related predictions
See all →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?
94%
Stable · last 24h
1008 bets · 40.8K credits14
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 2 · Results Nov 4
Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?
40%
Stable · last 24h
575 bets · 18.8K credits6
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will the Missouri Secretary of State tell every county to use the 2022 congressional map for the 2026 general election?
64%
Stable · last 24h
565 bets · 18.8K credits4
Details →📊Politics·PollsCloses Oct 24 · Results Oct 25
Will Donald Trump's job approval be above 37% on Oct 24?
50%
+9% last 24h
501 bets · 13.7K credits3
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 27
Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?
33%
Stable · last 24h
501 bets · 17.3K credits2
Details →