Did Chiapas have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm) on August 12?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) in a post-event bulletin, the Chiapas state Protección Civil, or an official Chiapas government bulletin publicly states that at least one location inside the administrative boundaries of Chiapas experienced 'lluvias puntuales intensas' during the local calendar day 12 August 2026 (00:00 to 23:59:59 local time). 'Lluvias puntuales intensas' is CONAGUA's phrase for 75–150 mm in 24 hours. Otherwise the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 14 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

78%

Predictions made

14

Credits staked

260

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 13, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 78% and NO 22%, based on 14 predictions and 260 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Did Chiapas have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm) on August 12?” real-money betting?

No. “Did Chiapas have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm) on August 12?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.