Will Washington or any county hit by the Spokane Complex fires receive a Major Disaster Declaration?

🤖 Context

YES if the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) publicly issues and posts a Major Disaster Declaration under the Stafford Act for the State of Washington or for any Washington county affected by the Spokane Complex fires no later than August 15, 2026. An Emergency Declaration, a Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG), or other non-disaster assistance do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 3 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

49%

Predictions made

3

Credits staked

35

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 49% and NO 51%, based on 3 predictions and 35 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Washington or any county hit by the Spokane Complex fires receive a Major Disaster Declaration?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Washington or any county hit by the Spokane Complex fires receive a Major Disaster Declaration?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.