Will a cyclone named 'Hernan' make landfall on the Hawaiian Islands?

🤖 Context

YES if the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), or another authoritative meteorological agency issues an advisory or official report stating that a cyclone named 'Hernan' made landfall on any Hawaiian island at any time between 00:00 HST on August 14, 2026 and no later than 23:59 HST on August 17, 2026 (Hawaii‑Aleutian Standard Time). YES also if multiple major reputable news organizations report an official landfall of a cyclone named 'Hernan' on the Hawaiian Islands during that interval. If the system passes close offshore but the cyclone's center does not cross a Hawaiian coastline (i.e., no agency or reputable report records a center landfall), resolve NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

31%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

73

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com