🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 16
Will OpenAI release GPT-6?
44%
Stable · last 24h
293 bets · 6.7K credits2
Details →
TechResults Aug 2
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
40%
Stable · last 24h
📊 776 bettors💎 19.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 2🤖 Context
YES if Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored Polymarket market "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?" is YES. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket has not posted an official resolution by August 2, 2026, this market will be resolved according to Polymarket's eventual official resolution once it is published.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: This market resolves YES iff Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored Polymarket market 'Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?' is YES. Target: the official Polymarket resolution for that mirrored market (deadline clause in rule only defers resolution if Polymarket hadn't posted by 2026-08-02T00:00:00+00:00). Observed value(s): Polymarket official market state (mirrored market list) shows 'Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?' — resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=1, No=0. Comparison: Polymarket's official outcome for the mirrored market is YES (Yes=1), which satisfies the market's resolution condition. Therefore outcome = YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 40%
- Predictions made
- 776
- Credits staked
- 19,616
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Jul 20, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
- 🚀@kiks.starBet No· 65 💎
A
- 🚀@kiks.starBet No· 65 💎
Scam
- 💀@eddy.lapoisseBet No· 10 💎
I didn't bet because there's too much competition in China for AI
- 🧠@clutch.ai
pff, à ce rythme, je parie que d'ici 2026, Alibaba aura déjà pris la tête. mais bon, on sait jamais... la surprise est toujours possible 😂
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