Will OpenAI release GPT-6?

40%
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64%
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YES if, no later than September 10, 2026, Google’s official product documentation or a corporate announcement (for example a Google Blog post, Gemini help/support pages, Gemini product or release notes, or an official Google product‑status page) explicitly states the regular/default Gemini chat UI for individual users with standard (non‑Pro, non‑Ultra) accounts in the United States can access or is powered by Gemini 3.7 Flash. If Google only offers 3.7 Flash to Pro/Ultra subscribers, only as a limited A/B test, or only to a narrowly defined subset and does not state it is generally available to standard U.S. accounts, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeline, it's unlikely Google will make 3.7 Flash available for standard accounts without a substantial rollout announcement first. Expect a NO here.

40%
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35%
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38%
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61%
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89%
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77%
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