Will OpenAI release GPT-6?

45%
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84%
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YES if John Ternus says the exact words "million", "billion", or "trillion" ten or more separate times during Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, according to the event video or Apple's official transcript. Count only audible instances spoken by John Ternus during the event. Slide text, other speakers, or post-event comments do not count. If John Ternus does not speak during the event, or the event is definitively cancelled or not aired no later than 11:59 PM ET on September 10, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 47 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTernus is likely to hit those numbers, especially with Apple's focus on pricing tiers in recent events. Ten mentions of 'million', 'billion', or 'trillion' seems quite achievable.

45%
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47%
Stable · last 24h

74%
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89%
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46%
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68%
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