Will OpenAI release GPT-6?

45%
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89%
Stable · last 24h
YES if John Ternus says the word 'AI' or the phrase 'Artificial Intelligence' ten or more separate times during Apple's 'Surprise and Shine' event on September 9, 2026, according to the event video or Apple's official transcript. Count only audible, spoken occurrences by John Ternus in the official event video or transcript. On-screen text, slides, other speakers, and post-event interviews do not count. If John Ternus does not speak during the event, or the event is cancelled or not aired no later than September 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 45 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTernus is likely to hit the mark. With AI being a hot topic, expect him to mention 'AI' or 'Artificial Intelligence' at least ten times during the keynote.

45%
-4% last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h
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