Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

66%
+7% last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 24YES if Polymarket.com's official resolution for the mirrored market "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?" is YES. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket.com removes or voids the event or does not publish an official resolution by 16:00 UTC on July 24, 2026, this market will be voided.
How markets are built and settled41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: this market resolves YES iff Polymarket.com's official resolution for the mirrored market "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?" is YES; otherwise NO. Target/window: tweets during July 20–22, 2026; Polymarket's official resolution (if any) governs this market (fallback: void only if Polymarket removes/voids the event or fails to publish an official resolution by 2026-07-24T16:00:00Z). Observed value (Polymarket official state snapshot): the specific 40–64-tweets market is marked resolved/closed with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1. Per the provided Polymarket convention, a resolved market's outcome is the side priced at 1, so Polymarket's official resolution for that market is NO. Comparison: Polymarket resolved NO, and this market resolves YES only if Polymarket resolved YES; therefore this market resolves NO.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledL'enflure
Normalement c'est gagné d'avance il aime trop tweeter
franchement, elon va pas se gêner, il va balancer ses 40-64 tweets easy, c’est son style ! 💥

66%
+7% last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h

92%
Stable · last 24h

18%
Stable · last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h
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