🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will an El Niño be explicitly declared as occurring?
76%
Stable · last 24h
843 bets · 32K credits9
Details →World Meteorological Organization
Live prediction markets about World Meteorological Organization. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Open questions1
How it turned out2
- Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 15 - Will the northeast Atlantic disturbance near Portugal be given an official tropical‑cyclone name?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 31