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ScienceCloses Aug 31 · Results Sep 15

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

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🤖 Context

YES if the global average surface temperature for June–August 2026, as reported by the WMO or NOAA, exceeds the June–August 1991–2020 baseline average; NO otherwise.