🔬ScienceResults Feb 16
Will NOAA confirm a “super” El Niño (very strong El Niño) for Oct 2026–Feb 2027?
48%
Stable · last 24h
20 bets · 372 credits0
Details →El Niño
EventWeather
Live prediction markets about El Niño. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
100%
of calls the crowd got right
2
markets settled
The crowd called 2 of 2 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
🔬ScienceResults Dec 31
Will global coral reef bleaching reach ‘severe’ status during late 2026 El Niño?
64%
Stable · last 24h
53 bets · 617 credits0
Details →🔬ScienceResults Oct 15
Will the 2026‑27 El Niño be officially classified by NOAA as “very strong” (Niño‑3.4 ≥ +2 °C)?
64%
Stable · last 24h
77 bets · 1.4K credits0
Details →Get the app
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🔬ScienceResults Sep 15
Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?
77%
Stable · last 24h
152 bets · 2.5K credits3
Details →How it turned out
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 2The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 16