Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

50%
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69%
-4% last 24h
YES if no later than November 30, 2026 the UK government publishes or enacts primary legislation, a statutory instrument, or other legally binding measure that explicitly grants any English directly‑elected mayor or combined authority the legal authority to impose a charge on overnight stays (i.e., to levy a charge on hotel or short‑term accommodation bookings). Credible reporting by at least two independent UK national news outlets (for example BBC News and The Guardian) that such a legally binding power has been published or enacted is sufficient to resolve YES. Mere announcements of intent, consultation papers, non‑binding guidance or proposals do not count, and measures that apply only to Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland do not count and resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current discussions around local governance financing, I expect legislation allowing mayors to impose a tourist tax will be enacted by November 30, 2026.

50%
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33%
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83%
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28%
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92%
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41%
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