Microsoft
Live prediction markets about Microsoft. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
76%
crowd accuracy
13/17
right calls
13
open questions
Biggest miss
Will NVIDIA be the world's second-largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?
NoThe crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Microsoft announce a per-account monthly hours limit for Game Pass cloud streaming?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
58%
Yes
Open questions13
How it turned out17
- Will Microsoft launch a free ad‑supported Xbox Cloud Gaming tier in Mexico before Aug 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 31 - Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will NVIDIA be the world's second-largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will the EU officially ban US cloud providers from hosting sensitive French government data by June 30 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 7 - Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 8 - Will Microsoft announce a new AI model preview at Build 2026 on June 2–3?Yes
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 5