🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 7
Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?

46%
+8% last 24h
150 bets · 3.5K credits1
Details →
27%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jun 4YES if during Microsoft Build 2026 (June 2–3, 2026), Microsoft officially presents or previews a previously unannounced AI model (e.g., new large language model or foundation model). NO if no such model is previewed during the event.
How markets are built and settled27%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
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46%
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72%
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30%
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