🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Sep 8
Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
53%
-38% last 24h
929 bets · 31K credits3
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CultureOpened Jul 24 · Results Aug 31
Will Microsoft launch a free ad‑supported Xbox Cloud Gaming tier in Mexico before Aug 31, 2026?
31%
Stable · last 24h
📊 33 bettors💎 728 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 31🤖 Context
The market required an official Xbox Newsroom post or an update on Xbox's official website by 12:00 PM on August 31, 2026, Mexico City time, saying a free, ad-supported Xbox Cloud Gaming tier was publicly available to all consumers in Mexico with no paid subscription and not limited to invited testers. Microsoft's official Xbox Newsroom post on July 23, 2026 announced an ad-supported cloud streaming test but explicitly said it was available to Xbox Insiders, and reporting from Xataka México, 3DJuegos México and PureXbox likewise described it as an Insider/preview test rather than a public launch. Because the offering remained limited to Insiders and no general-availability announcement appeared by the deadline, the condition was not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No31%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows Microsoft announced the ad-supported cloud-streaming option as a limited test for Xbox Insiders, not a general public launch. The official Xbox Wire post (July 23, 2026) explicitly states the ad-supported streaming test is “available to XBOX Insiders.” Independent reporting from Xataka México, 3DJuegos México and PureXbox likewise describe the feature as an Insider/preview test (exclusive to Xbox Insiders) and note Microsoft framed it as a trial rather than a broadly available free tier. None of the provided sources shows Microsoft removing the Insider restriction or issuing a public, general-availability launch in Mexico by 2026-08-31 12:00 PM (Mexico City time). Because the offering remained limited to invited testers/Insiders, the condition “publicly available to all consumers in Mexico … not limited to invited testers or a closed pilot” is not met.
Source: news.xbox.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 31%
- Predictions made
- 33
- Credits staked
- 728
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 31, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- news.xbox.com, xataka.com.mx, purexbox.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 36 💎
nah, microsoft's gonna make us pay. free gaming sounds nice, but they love their subscriptions too much. 🙄
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