Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?Results Oct 30342 predictions36%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 3049 predictions15%Yes
- Liga MX: Will Pumas UNAM be above Puebla in the table on October 31?Results Oct 318 predictions67%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Natalia Alcocer be on the Week 8 'Tabla de Nominados'?Results Oct 313 predictions74%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 302 predictions80%Yes
- Will the Chamber of Deputies debate or vote on reforms to the Ley de Inversión Extranjera or on forest certificate rules?Results Oct 312 predictions60%Yes
- Will official documents about Talleres Gráficos de México's contracts and activities since this administration took office be published?Results Nov 221 prediction62%Yes
How it turned out401
- Will 'Te Estoy Correteando' by LATIN MAFIA & Fred again.. still be the #1 most‑played song on Apple Music Mexico on August 12?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will at least one named person be formally charged or 'vinculado a proceso' in Valentín Gavin Romero's homicide and published on the FGE website by Aug 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will tropical cyclone Elida make landfall on the Baja California peninsula or mainland Mexico?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will in-person classes be suspended in the Valley of Mexico and the Megalópolis on August 8?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any municipality in Sinaloa order evacuations or close in-person schools because of rain or flooding?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will Mexico google Cynthia Rodríguez more than Angélica Rivera on August 11?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any film flagged 'New This Week' debut at #1 on Mexico's weekend box office?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?Yes
The crowd was 97% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico City's high temperature on 10 August reach at least 21 °C?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico google Scarlett Johansson more than Salma Hayek on August 10?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11