Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/402
right calls
68
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions68
- Will the SNTSS convene and hold an Extraordinary National Congress to consider renewing its leadership?Closes Dec 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Gas Natural del Noroeste or its executives face formal criminal charges over the 59 million‑litre Guanajuato fuel seizure?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 41 prediction67%Yes
- Will a final ruling resolve an INE workers' labor lawsuit over the 2027 pay changes?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Mexicable Line 3 (Naucalpan–Metro Cuatro Caminos) start regular commercial service?Closes Apr 11 prediction68%Yes
- Will hail be reported in any Mexican state on October 31 linked to storms from the SMN 'Mapa de Áreas con Potencial de Tormentas'?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 10 predictions65%Yes
- Will the forecast frontal system cause heavy or very heavy rain in northwest Mexico on November 1?Closes Nov 1 · Results Nov 20 predictions65%Yes
- Will IMSS publicly propose or agree to a 2026 sueldo tabular increase greater than 2.9%?Closes Nov 160 predictions48%Yes
- Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar file a formal 'daño moral' complaint naming Santiago Taboada?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 20 predictions24%Yes
- Will dredging or construction at Vaso II of Laguna de Cuyutlán (Puerto Nuevo Manzanillo) be halted by a provisional suspension (amparo)?Closes Jan 10 predictions33%Yes
- Will Tatiana Clouthier publicly declare she is a candidate for Governor of Nuevo León?Closes Mar 210 predictions48%Yes
- Will Andrés Manuel López Beltrán (Andy) be formally named in a criminal investigation or charged?Results Dec 1419 predictions25%Yes
- Will Mexico be declared free of illiteracy?Results Jan 1411 predictions56%Yes
How it turned out402
- Will 'onda tropical núm. 23' become a named tropical cyclone?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Mexico: more Google searches for politics than for science on August 5?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 24 °C on Tuesday, August 4, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will a rider from the USA, Canada, Mexico, or Cuba win Stage 4, the day‑four individual time trial, of the Tour de France Femmes?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Mexico have more Google searches for politics than for science on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Mexico City's high be at least 25°C on Monday, August 3, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4 - Will the daily high in Mexico City on Sunday, August 2, 2026 reach at least 24 °C?Yes
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will Aldo Rendón be announced as eliminated at the first La Casa de los Famosos México elimination gala after the July 26 premiere?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will the PlayStation Store in Mexico show and charge digital game prices in Mexican pesos (MXN) on or after August 1, 2026 (Mexico City local time)?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 1 - Will the Mexico PlayStation Store show prices and let you pay in Mexican pesos on or before August 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1