Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will Morena publish a single definitive national list naming its chosen coordinators/candidates for all 300 federal districts?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 2402 predictions38%Yes
- Will federal charges be filed against Iván "N" (alias "El Cromo") for extortion, drug dealing, murder, or kidnapping?Closes Jan 1402 predictions17%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,105,963.2 million pesos to Health?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2401 predictions76%Yes
- Will at least one of the 12,500 new 'consultorios gratuitos' start operating?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 1401 predictions60%Yes
- Will Tropical Storm Vance make landfall in Mexico?Closes Oct 3131 predictions24%Yes
- Will a formal criminal investigation be opened into Guadalupe Taddei?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 29 predictions42%Yes
- Will IMSS workers hold a public march in Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 317 predictions87%Yes
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum meet on the record with Tatiana Clouthier in person or in a publicly acknowledged call?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 166 predictions27%Yes
- Will detailed vote counts from the Oct 14 IMSS salary consultation be published?Closes Nov 35 predictions57%Yes
- Will Morena publicly name at least one new state coordinator by direct designation?Closes Dec 14 predictions70%Yes
- Will IMSS workers stage blockades or mobilizations that close roads in at least three different Mexican states or Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 313 predictions72%Yes
- Will Ciudad Juárez set clocks back one hour on November 1?Closes Nov 13 predictions78%Yes
How it turned out401
- Will 'Te Estoy Correteando' by LATIN MAFIA & Fred again.. still be the #1 most‑played song on Apple Music Mexico on August 12?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will at least one named person be formally charged or 'vinculado a proceso' in Valentín Gavin Romero's homicide and published on the FGE website by Aug 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will tropical cyclone Elida make landfall on the Baja California peninsula or mainland Mexico?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will in-person classes be suspended in the Valley of Mexico and the Megalópolis on August 8?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any municipality in Sinaloa order evacuations or close in-person schools because of rain or flooding?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will Mexico google Cynthia Rodríguez more than Angélica Rivera on August 11?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any film flagged 'New This Week' debut at #1 on Mexico's weekend box office?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?Yes
The crowd was 97% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico City's high temperature on 10 August reach at least 21 °C?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico google Scarlett Johansson more than Salma Hayek on August 10?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11