Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
248/400
right calls
68
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions68
- Will Morena publish a single definitive national list naming its chosen coordinators/candidates for all 300 federal districts?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 2402 predictions38%Yes
- Will federal charges be filed against Iván "N" (alias "El Cromo") for extortion, drug dealing, murder, or kidnapping?Closes Jan 1402 predictions17%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,105,963.2 million pesos to Health?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2401 predictions76%Yes
- Will at least one of the 12,500 new 'consultorios gratuitos' start operating?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 1401 predictions60%Yes
- Will Tropical Storm Vance make landfall in Mexico?Closes Oct 3130 predictions24%Yes
- Will a formal criminal investigation be opened into Guadalupe Taddei?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 29 predictions42%Yes
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum meet on the record with Tatiana Clouthier in person or in a publicly acknowledged call?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 166 predictions27%Yes
- Will detailed vote counts from the Oct 14 IMSS salary consultation be published?Closes Nov 35 predictions57%Yes
- Will IMSS workers hold a public march in Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 314 predictions84%Yes
- Will Morena publicly name at least one new state coordinator by direct designation?Closes Dec 14 predictions70%Yes
- Will IMSS workers stage blockades or mobilizations that close roads in at least three different Mexican states or Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 313 predictions72%Yes
- Will Ciudad Juárez set clocks back one hour on November 1?Closes Nov 13 predictions78%Yes
How it turned out400
- Will Mexico City's high reach at least 24 °C on August 27?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 28 - Will the tropical wave 'onda tropical núm. 29' be designated a tropical cyclone?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 28 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 23 °C on August 26?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 27 - Will Mexico google Omar Courtz more than Moises Peñaloza on August 26?Yes
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 27 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 22°C on August 25?No
The crowd was 85% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 26 - Will Mexico google Susana González more than Vanessa Huppenkothen on August 25?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 26 - Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?No
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 25 - Will the consultation on the 'lineamientos para la protección de las audiencias' ask if they apply to the president's mañaneras no later than Aug 18, 2026?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 25 - Will Fausto Corrales Rodríguez be formally bound to trial on August 24?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 25 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 19 °C on August 23?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 24