Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

9%
-1% last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
YES if on August 24, 2026 (Mexico City local time) a Mexican federal judge in the federal proceedings at the Centro de Justicia Penal Federal in Almoloya de Juárez issues an order that Fausto Corrales Rodríguez is "vinculado a proceso" (formally bound to trial). Acceptable evidence includes the judge's entry in the Centro de Justicia Penal Federal court docket, an official press release from the Fiscalía General de la República (FGR), or clear reporting in major Mexican national news outlets that quotes the court decision (for example El Universal, Reforma, Milenio). Otherwise NO. If the judge on that day only orders preventive detention or remand without entering a "vinculación a proceso", the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

9%
-1% last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

72%
+22% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy