Will the tropical wave 'onda tropical núm. 29' be designated a tropical cyclone?

🤖 Context

YES if an official meteorological advisory issued no later than August 23, 2026 explicitly designates the feature that Mexico's SMN called 'onda tropical núm. 29' (Pronóstico Meteorológico General, Aviso No. 459, issued 18 Aug 2026) as a tropical cyclone (tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane). The advisory should come from CONAGUA/SMN or the U.S. National Hurricane Center, though advisories from other official meteorological agencies count and confirmation by major news outlets is acceptable. If an advisory designates a cyclone but does not explicitly link it to SMN's 'onda tropical núm. 29' and SMN does not confirm the link, resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

35

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 18, 2026

Closes

Aug 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 4 predictions and 35 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the tropical wave 'onda tropical núm. 29' be designated a tropical cyclone?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the tropical wave 'onda tropical núm. 29' be designated a tropical cyclone?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.