Will Bitcoin be at least $80,000 on Binance on October 28?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 28The market resolves as yes if Mexico City’s recorded daily maximum temperature on August 27, 2026 is at least 24.0 °C according to Open‑Meteo, and no otherwise. Open‑Meteo reported a numeric daily maximum of 23.3 °C for Mexico City on August 27, 2026. Because 23.3 °C is below 24.0 °C, the condition was not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled47%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Mexico City's recorded daily maximum temperature on 2026-08-27 must be >= 24.0 °C. Observed value from supplied Open‑Meteo data: 2026-08-27 daily max = 23.3 °C (recorded). Comparison: 23.3 °C < 24.0 °C, so the condition is not met. Open‑Meteo provided a numeric recorded value for that date, so no fallback sources were needed.
Source: api.open-meteo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely to reach 24°C on the 27th, with forecasts showing a maximum of only 23.7°C. Given the timing, bet against it.

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