FiveThirtyEight
Live prediction markets about FiveThirtyEight. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
100%
crowd accuracy
3/3
right calls
Open questions
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See open questionsHow it turned out3
- Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats in the national generic congressional ballot on October 6?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 10 - Will Republicans lead the national generic congressional ballot on September 27?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the national generic congressional ballot on September 18?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 20