Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the national generic congressional ballot on September 18?

🤖 Context

YES if, on September 18, 2026, the Republicans' percentage in the U.S. national generic congressional ballot aggregate is strictly greater than the Democrats' percentage, otherwise NO. The preferred source is VoteHub's national generic congressional ballot 30-day trailing average as published by VoteHub, and if VoteHub publishes only an undated "current" value, the value shown at or after 00:00 EDT on September 19, 2026 will be treated as the reading for September 18, 2026. If VoteHub has no figure for that date or is unavailable, resolvers may use other reputable poll aggregators or mainstream outlets, for example FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics, The New York Times, The Washington Post and the Associated Press, and the majority outcome among those sources decides. A reported tie (exact equality) resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

110

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 19, 2026

Resolution source

votehub.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 2 predictions and 110 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against votehub.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the national generic congressional ballot on September 18?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the national generic congressional ballot on September 18?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.