Ávila
Live prediction markets about Ávila. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
33%
crowd accuracy
1/3
right calls
Biggest miss
Will any of the 14 places whose evacuations ended on July 29 be ordered to evacuate again no later than August 15?
NoThe crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
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See open questionsHow it turned out3
- Will any of the 14 places whose evacuations ended on July 29 be ordered to evacuate again no later than August 15?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 19 - Will a second person be detained on suspicion of causing the Burgohondo (Ávila) wildfire before Aug 11, 2026?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 18 - Will the national "declaración de emergencia de interés nacional" (national emergency declaration) for the wildfires be expanded to at least one more Spanish province before July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1