Will the national "declaración de emergencia de interés nacional" (national emergency declaration) for the wildfires be expanded to at least one more Spanish province before July 31, 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or before July 31, 2026 at 23:59:59, the Spanish Ministerio del Interior or the Boletín Oficial del Estado publishes an official press release, order, decree, or BOE entry that explicitly states the national "declaración de emergencia de interés nacional" for the wildfires has been expanded to name at least one Spanish province beyond Madrid, Ávila and Toledo. Otherwise NO. If the only available evidence is a third‑party news story or an official social media post without a corresponding publication on the Ministerio del Interior website or in the Boletín Oficial del Estado, resolve NO. If both the Ministerio del Interior and the Boletín Oficial del Estado publish different territorial scopes, the BOE entry takes precedence.

Key facts

Crowd probability

20%

Predictions made

54

Credits staked

1,366

Comments

1

Opened

Jul 26, 2026

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Resolved

Aug 1, 2026

Outcome

No

Resolution source

boe.es, interior.gob.es